Donald J. Trump Has been in office for more than two-years, he has ceased to be a dominant figure to There are many Americans who do not know how to pronounce the word “American”. to Margot Copeland is a political independant and looms larger than ever. She is just as anxious to oppose him. Trump in She will face President Biden again in 2024, just as she faced him the first time.

“I’ll get to the polls and get everybody out to the polls too,” Copeland is a retired 67 year old woman who was shocked at the possibility of a return. to The 45th presidency. “It’s very important that Trump does not get back in.”

Andrew Dickey is also a political independant who backed Mr. Biden. in 2020, said he was disappointed with the current president’s record, particularly his failure to wipe out student debt. (The Supreme Court is considering Mr. Biden’s debt forgiveness program, but appeared skeptical during a hearing.) Chef Dickey owes $20,000.00 for his culinary education.

“I think I would possibly vote third party,” Mr. Dickey (35), said about a Trump-Biden rematch. “There’s been a lot of things said on Biden’s end that haven’t been met. It was the normal smoke screen of the Democrats promising all this stuff, and then nothing.”

In Maricopa County in Arizona is the most important county in one of the most important states on the 2024 electoral map, voters like Ms. Copeland and Mr. Dickey illustrate the electoral upside — and potential pitfalls — for Mr. Biden as he begins his bid for a second term, which he announced last week.

A new era of opportunity is awaiting us. Trump-Biden rematch in 2024 is Democrats’ greatest get-out-the-vote advantage. Some past Biden-voters are looking for alternatives, like a third-party nominee, which poses a risk. to The president

In last week’s interviews with independents that voted for Biden, the majority praised his achievements and supported his reelection.

Some 2020 Biden Voters were disappointed, and they looked to other options.

“I think we have bigger problems than just Trump being re-elected,” Richard Mocny – a retired Republican who registered as a Democrat – said this. to After the ascension of Mr. TrumpWho voted? in Biden 2020: “Polarization in this country is just fierce,” “He said” “I believe in looking at some of the new third parties popping up.”

No Labels is a group that has never disclosed their financial backing. qualified to be on the Arizona ballotIt has also raised concern among Democrats about the possibility of a third party candidate stealing votes from Biden.

Arizona’s independent voters, a sampling of whom were interviewed after having participated in an earlier New York Times/Siena College pollAre you sure? to Just as important to They were able to get Mr. Biden as their next president in 2020. The margin of his 10,500 votes in Arizona was the state where his margin of victory was narrowest, with a difference of less than one percent. The map showing the likely states to vote in the Electoral College to The most popular contest in The 2024 deadline has been shortened to Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania are fewer than usual.

Independent Biden voters in Arizona stated that it was a serious concern about the state of economy, and local gas prices were $5. in In some cases, their own finances are stressed. Biden supporters did not, in the majority of cases, blame President Obama for persistently high prices. They said that this was beyond White House influence.

There were many who strongly agreed. Mr. Biden, as he said in his kickoff re-election videoThe far right has taken control of the Republican Party, as described by Mr. Biden “MAGA extremists.”

“The entire Republican Party went so far to the right,” said Sheri Schreckengost, 61, a legal assistant and political middle-of-the-roader, who in In the past, some people voted Republican. “Donald Trump changed all that for me,” “She said” “The way things are now, there’s no way I’d vote for a Republican.”

Mr. Biden’s victory in Arizona became the only Democrat state to be nominated for president in 48 years. Maricopa County played a key role to His victory Mr. Biden flipped 60 precincts I had voted in favor of Mr. Trump in 2016. The majority of swing precincts is in North and Southeast of Phoenix is a suburb. in A loop 101 beltway is a rough description of the arc.

Newcomers are many suburban residents to Arizona is now a vibrant purple state, transforming the old base of John McCain’s and Barry Goldwater’s Republican Presidential nominees. There are the same concerns about Mr. Biden’s age as there are elsewhere in The country.

In Mesa, a suburb with several precincts that Mr. Biden flipped, Maren Hunt, 48, an independent voter who works as a librarian, said of the president, as she entered a Trader Joe’s one evening, “I think he’s done a lot of good, but, you know, how much more does he have left in him?”

Mr. Biden was the oldest ever person. to On Inauguration day of the second term, he would have been 82. If it was to come down, however to A competition between Mr. Biden & Mr. Trump, who is just four years younger than the president, Ms. Hunt did not hesitate about how she’d vote. “I’ll make sure to mail in my ballot early, very early,” “She said”

Dlorah conover would also prefer a Democratic nominee in the mold of Bernie Sanders — the Vermont progressive, who declined to Run for President Again in 2024 After two unsuccessful campaigns — said that in a TrumpIt would not be a contest if Biden and Obama were to face off.

“This is a despicable human being,” Conover is a 38-year-old woman who has plans to become a teacher. to “I’m going to community college in the next few months,” said Mr. Trump. “Biden would win hands down with me.”

Mr. Trump Support is plentiful in Arizona. A poll of registered voters in State in Public Opinion Strategies reported that in April, Mr. Biden led Mr. Trump By only 1 point in A hypothetical matchup.

Despite the former president’s two impeachments, a civil suit accusing him of rape and defamation, and an indictment related to He claims to have paid hush-money to a porn star, Mr. Trump’s core supporters are dug in.

He has seen his support from Republicans increase in recent times against Gov. Ron DeSantis from Florida. The Democrat candidate for Florida is Ron DeSantis. Trump-Biden rematch, Americans’ entrenched partisanship means that Mr. Trump Could you gain the same amount as Mr. Biden by an impulse? to Rally behind the candidate

Barry Forbes is 75 years old and an independent with a Republican lean. He would have preferred Mr. DeSantis to be the Republican nominee but said that he would support Mr. Trump, in part because of Mr. Biden’s costly aid to Ukraine in its defense against Russian invaders — “a war we had no business getting involved in,” he said outside the Trader Joe’s.

Much of Mr. Biden’s 2020 pitch to The expectation of Mr. Trump Had explicitly exploited to gain political advantage. Voters Seem poised to You can judge his progress by looking at the results he has achieved.

“I think he’s done wonders on bringing our country back together after the number Trump did tearing us apart,” Jenifer Scheuerman, 39 years old, is an independent Arizonan who has lived in the state for five generations.

Joel Uliassi was a student of Arizona State University who is 22 years old and voted in favor of Mr. Biden. He wasn’t as impressed. “Biden ran on the idea he’d heal the divide,” “He said” “He was going to bring us back together. From what I’ve seen we’ve gotten more divided and separated.”

Mr. Uliassi said, as a student in music who is also a trumpeter, that during the chaotic pullout from Afghanistan, Mr. Biden made him feel discouraged. in The trend of declining approval ratings for the President began in 2021. This is a pattern that continues.

“I had hoped this election would not be a repeat of the last election, but it looks like it’s ramping up to be that,” Mr. Uliassi said. “If it was another Trump-Biden rematch, I would consider both candidates more this time.”