the N.F.L. N.F.L. playoffs teams will be as evenly matched this season as ever.
Opponents are always looking to find any advantage they can, so it is worth keeping an eye on several statistics trends. It is possible to have an impact on the game through dropped passes, penalty yards and field-position differentials. Fourth-quarter surges are all examples. the results of this weekend’s elimination games.
Tom Brady’s Fourth-Quarter Surges
Brady’s patented comebacks are still big. It’s the The rest of his game is smaller.
The fourth quarter deficits suffered by the Buccaneers (11-9) were overcome in all four victories. Tampa Bay overcame an 11-6 deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat the Los Angeles Rams, 16-13, in Week 9. Brady won despite a 16-3 loss the New Orleans Saints: 17-16 at Week 13. Brady was also the leader the Buccaneers recover from trailing 16-6 the Arizona Cardinals: 19-16. In overtime, Week 16. the Next week, they were trailing by 21-10 and then lost the Carolina Panthers (30-24) to win the N.F.C. South.
These are the comebacks. the The combined score of 66-22 in the match between Buccaneers and Saints was a significant advantage for them the Fourth quarter against rivals who finished the Season with falling records That It does not inspire confidence.
Over the Brady only threw 12 touchdowns in the first, second, and third quarters regular-season game. the Bears’ Justin Fields and the Texans’ Davis Mills (13 each), beleaguered young quarterbacks whose teams combined for a 6-27-1 record and earned the You can do it right now the The top 2 picks the 2023 draft. Brady made 13 touchdowns in the fourth quarter, including seven while trailing. the Final four minutes of the game, which can be used sometimes but not always during heroic comebacks.
Brady’s sorcery will probably not be enough to advance the Buccaneers Through the He is a great player for the playoffs but his ability to score fourth-quarter touchdowns makes it difficult for rivals not to play the If they are unable to avoid the ball, then kick them back.
Dak Prescott’s Interception Rate
Dak Prescott, Cowboys’ quarterback tied for the League lead with 15 interceptions, and had the The starter with the lowest interception rate (3.8%) the Regular season. He has returned three interceptions for touchdowns and at least one pass interception in each of the seven previous games.
Prescott is a great quarterback, but that’s not all. the Interceptions isn’t quite the same as claiming Sunday dinner was good except for the salmonella. Prescott finished the Season tied for 4 the N.F.L. In touchdown rate (5.7 percent). He frequently Houdinise his way out. the Houston, in Week 14, was one of the predicaments that he helped to cause. He led comeback victories over Houston the Philadelphia Eagles Week 16
Prescott also isn’t getting much support from teammates; his overtime interception against the For example, Jacksonville Jaguars Week 15 was tipped in the air by his own receiver.
The Super Bowl is not ruined by a high intercept rate: Matthew Stafford (Rams) tied the record for the N.F.L. N.F.L. led with 17 interceptions by 2021 and then threw three more. the postseason. Still, the Cowboys are known for their postseason missteps. They will not be able to afford any of them easy chances. Their opponent Monday night will be led by Tom Brady.
The Jacksonville Jaguars’ and Los Angeles Chargers’ Dropped Passes
Saturday’s game between the Chargers and Jaguars will be the showdown between Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence. the N.F.L.’s most promising young star quarterbacks. However, it could become a tedious blooper reel. The Jaguars led the According to Pro Football Reference there were 41 passes that were dropped in the league. the With 40 drops, Chargers were ranked second.
Zay Jones led the Jaguars had 13 passes, Christian Kirk seven; Marvin Jones the Evan Engram, a former Giants tight-end added five more. Austin Ekeler, tight end Gerald Everett were the runners back the Chargers each with nine drops the Top receivers Keenan and Mike Allen, both of whom were hurt for most of the season, are now back. the year combined to drop three passes. Herbert is therefore a holder the Advantage: Lawrence is able to target two targets reliably, while he has only one.
The San Francisco 49ers’ Average Starting Field Position
The 49ers start their offensive drives at 30.9 yards. the The best position for starting in the field the According to Football Outsiders, N.F.L. They are, however, forced to start their drives from their 25.6 yard line. the In the worst position for starting field the league. The 49ers thus net 5.24 yards per series which is league-high the They will win the field and force their opponents to concede.
The 49ers were also the leaders the N.F.L. In turnover differential with 13 more giveaways than takeaways They often give defense the Brock Purdy (rookie quarterback) and his numerous playmakers the Ball within striking distance the end zone.
The The 49ers won both of their regular-season championship victories by scoring touchdowns with short drives, after turning the ball over. the Seattle Seahawks, a division rival they’ll face again on Saturday. Even if the Seahawks can play turnover-free soccer, but it is possible that they will find themselves on the climb all afternoon.
The Minnesota Vikings Penalty Differential
The Minnesota Vikings were penalized for 88 yards. the According to nflpenalties.com. They were penalized for 111 yards. The +237 yard penalty difference was the highest figure in the N.F.L. and the contributions to the It is a good idea to do that the Even though they are not very impressive, many Vikings have won their games on the basis of sheer luck.
Some the Vikings’ penalty edge stemmed from the team’s strengths. In their desperate attempt to protect Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, the opponents were penalized with 11 pass interference offenses for 158 yards. Some the Experience and good coaching can give you an advantage. The Vikings only committed 12 offense-related holding penalties the Second-lowest number the N.F.L.
The Rest of the It is possible that differential was indeed used the Result of the team’s purported probability-warping superpowers: Opponents were flagged a league-high six times for ineligible downfield receivers, a truly random infraction.
The Giants should minimize the penalties they face the Vikings will be playing on Sunday against the odds, due to their inability to rely on their passing ability for help.
Daniel Jones’s Average Depth of Target
The Giants depend heavily on quick passing. A bit too often. Daniel Jones’s average depth of target of 6.4 yards tied for 31st among starting quarterbacks, according to Pro Football Reference. For comparison’s sake, the Bills’ Josh Allen averaged 9.2 air yards per target, and Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins — not exactly renowned as a mad bomber — averaged 7.5.
Because of their micro-passing the Giants only produced 28 passes of at least 20 yards by Giants the Regular season the Lowest total the league.
Yet the Jones led despite the lack of large plays the Giants make four comebacks in the fourth quarter the same number as Brady and Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes. Unfortunately, Cousins led the Vikings make eight quarter-quarter comebacks and tie the game the Modern record
So the Late-game magic is not something the Giants can rely upon. They and the other teams are hoping that statistical trends this weekend will begin to change.