While there won’t be a golden elevator this time, there will be no mocking giggles or can you-believe-this eye rolling. The world has changed a lot since Trump’s first presidential campaign. Donald Trump will be launching a second presidential campaign tonight. His attempted comeback will not be dismissed, no matter what else you think.

He was viewed as a buffoonish reality television star who would say anything to get attention. But seven years later, he won the election that proved all the doubters wrong. He is now the leader of a group that has dominated Republican Party for many years. However, with the possibility of subpoenas or recriminations, his chances of repeating 2015’s surprise announcement are more complicated.

While few people took Trump seriously back in those days, many do now. This includes his core supporters, who view him as their combative champion, and his critics, who see him an existential threat for American democracy. The defeat of so many of Trump’s allies in last week’s midterm contests and the failure of Republicans to run away with an election that they should have easily won if history were a guide have raised questions about whether he is at a moment of weakness.

Trump’s political clout has diminished and conservatives are becoming more willing to criticize him. Like my colleagues Lisa Lerer & Reid J. Epstein said, “there are signs of another Republican effort to inch the party away from the former president.” Republicans have taken to the television sets to declare that there is no one leader of their party. “We’re not a cult,” Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” Sunday. Rupert Murdoch’s conservative media outlets have increasingly lashed out at Trump, branding him “the Republican Party’s biggest loser.”

The scope of Trump’s troubles was reinforced yesterday. These problems are not just political, but also legal. He could face contempt for not complying with a Jan. 6 subpoena. Unsealed court records documented Trump’s struggle over government papers as he left office. Meanwhile, a congressional report described how foreign nations lavished at Trump’s Washington hotel during his time in office. In a new interview, Trump’s once-deferential vice president Mike Pence said that Trump was a good man. “reckless” On the day of the Capitol Riot.

Trump is also no longer the unquestioned presidential front-runner, according to surveys conducted since last week’s disappointing midterms for Republicans. These surveys show that Trump faces serious competition from Gov. Ron DeSantis was able to win a landslide victory in Florida and should he decide to run. A YouGov poll DeSantis led Trump among Republicans 42 percent to 35%, a survey by the Texas Republican Party DeSantis led the Republicans with 43 percent to 32 per cent for Trump. Another survey by the conservative Club for Growth found DeSantis leading four states.

Trump has been criticized by critics before, and they have regretted it. As The Times’s Michael C. Bender wrote, the former president still commands the loyalty of “a solid and devoted core of conservative voters” Who appear? “ready to follow him wherever he leads again — even if into defeat.”

Trump of 2022 has a lot more tools available to him than Trump of 2015. His team felt obliged to pay $50 more each to ride the escalator to Trump Tower’s lobby. When he called Mexican immigrants “immigrants” “rapists,” Republicans denounced his attack. They laughed at his pledge to build a border wall and make Mexico pay.

While the Never Trump establishment wing of party is less powerful today than seven years ago, Trump still has the financial resources and the network that resulted from two national campaigns. He also has the ability to use his animal intelligence to overcome many Republicans who tried to defy him.

It might be instructive to recall that Trump hosted that show for years. “The Apprentice,” He was on air 14 years ago, repeating the same storyline over and over until the audience came back for more. Tonight, he will take the mic at his Mar-a-Lago estate near Florida to tell his story. “special announcement,” In the hope of being renewed, he is determined that a new season of dramatization and conflict will be written.

  • After three University of Virginia football players were shot and killed, a 22-year old student was taken into custody

  • Amazon plans to lay off about 10,000 people, the largest cuts in the company’s history.

  • Three women and one man were killed in a house close to the University of Idaho. It was a homicide, according to police. “crime of passion.”

  • Restaurants are full, masks are disappearing and restaurants are overcrowded, but Covid remains, leaving Americans trying to find a new balance.

  • Tens of thousand of academic workers from the University of California system are fighting for higher wages.

  • Roberta Flack, well-known for hit songs like “Killing Me Softly With His Song,” A.L.S. The ability to no longer sing.

Although we have the tools to make the transition to renewable energy more efficient, we need to move faster. Bill McKibben Arguments on “The Ezra Klein Show.”

A Democrat’s win in a red-leaning Washington congressional district shows that Republican extremism has a political price, Michelle Goldberg says.

Naomi Biden, President Biden’s granddaughter, will be married on the South Lawn of the White House this weekend. And while it may not have the stakes of, say, a meeting in the Situation Room, planners are treating the details of the wedding as though they were highly classified, The Times’s Katie Rogers writes.

Nineteen presidential children have been married at the White House, including Tricia Nixon in 1971. This ceremony was very public, and included a number of celebrities. front-page photo The Times next day. Naomi Biden will become the first granddaughter of the president to marry at the White House. 1886 was the year of the rarest White House wedding. Grover Cleveland, then the president, got married there. John Philip Sousa was the band leader. (No press allowed at this one.